Download Demographic Change and Economic Growth: Simulations on by Lars Weber PDF

By Lars Weber

In this ebook the writer investigates the influence of demographic switch on monetary development. as a result of present monetary quandary, a brand new view on economics has been demanded by way of numerous scientists. the writer offers the sort of new view on monetary progress, utilizing a strategy of approach dynamics. through utilizing this technique, the writer specializes in features of complicated platforms and analyzes getting older and shrinking methods, and never in simple terms optimistic development. Delays and suggestions techniques also are thought of. This ends up in deeper and revealing insights into monetary habit. In doing so, a brand new semi-endogenous development version is constructed by way of introducing a selected and precise inhabitants area (demographic development model). The e-book exhibits and analyzes the habit of one of these version and exams numerous coverage eventualities in a move bankruptcy to use the recent theoretical technique on genuine global difficulties. the foremost effects are summarized in 15 rules of demographic growth.

Show description

Read or Download Demographic Change and Economic Growth: Simulations on Growth Models PDF

Similar demography books

Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970, pt. 1-2

Comprises lists, tables, and information on: Senators; Senatorial elections; periods; occasion management and association; Committees; Senate association; and Senate powers.

Seasonality in Human Mortality: A Demographic Approach

Seasonal fluctuations in mortality are a continual phenomenon throughout populations. In Western international locations of the Northern hemisphere, mortality is usually higher in wintry weather than in summer season that's attributed to the hazardous results of chilly to well-being. This does, even if, no longer clarify why in less warm international locations the variations among iciness and summer season mortality are smaller than in international locations with hot or average weather.

Renewing the Family: A History of the Baby Boomers

This ebook strains the background of the baby-boomers, starting with an evidence of the reason for the post-war child growth and finishing with the modern issues of growing older boomers. It indicates how the baby-boomers challenged conventional kinfolk attitudes and followed new life within the Nineteen Sixties and Nineteen Seventies. Drawing on ninety interviews performed with child boomers residing in London and Paris, the ebook demonstrates how their aspirations for rest and intake converged with relatives obligations and responsibilities.

Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas: A Primer

The power to venture inhabitants traits is of significant value for someone thinking about making plans - within the public in addition to inner most quarter. This e-book presents the instruments for making such projections and discusses 4 primary methods: mathematical extrapolation, comparative tools, cohort survival and migration versions.

Extra resources for Demographic Change and Economic Growth: Simulations on Growth Models

Example text

Whereas a causal link never goes into a constant, an auxiliary always has an information inflow. In both types, information can be linked to other flows or auxiliaries. Note that a stock can only change through its flow and not through a direct link of an auxiliary or constant. 4 Feedback Loops Feedback loops are one of the central structures which generate change in models. Interacting variables within the feedback loops create the behavior of the system (Moffat, 1992, p. 14). A feedback loop is derived from a causal link chain of at least two variables that eventually returns to the beginning.

But the “Growth” section is significantly extended in support of the population sector’s model structure. The second subchapter “Model Testing and Evaluation” in Chap. 4 initializes the demographic growth model and evaluates the correctness of the model structure through test runs for both growing and stable populations. Chapter 5 culminates the precursor work of this thesis with several simulations. The base run presents the model behavior for any typical demographic aging and shrinking process.

Additionally, there is an increase in the hedonistic value orientation (Huinink, 2000, p. 371). The “Value of Children Theory” by Lois W. Hoffman and Martin L. Hoffman (1973) compares the costs and benefits of parenthood. The work differentiates various kinds of benefits. Thus, one can distinguish between economical, psychological and socio-cultural components. Based on empirical research they found specific value categories, listed here (Hoffman & Manis, 1979, p. 585): – – – – – – – Primary group ties and affection Stimulation and fun Expansion of self Adult status and social identity Achievement and creativity Morality Economic utility In contrast to these benefits there is also a direct fear about the offspring’s future, thus parents consider opportunity costs.

Download PDF sample

Rated 4.56 of 5 – based on 6 votes